2024/08/23 22:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13797 59.81 80 -5 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.000 80! 2 13790 221.56 24 -16 0.208 0.176 0.093 0.106 0.002 29 3 13794 119.97 49 19 0.013 0.024 0.008 0.009 0.000 52! 4 13793 6.76 29 23 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.002 0.000 36 5 13796 223.21 -16 -8 0.433 0.297 0.177 0.167 0.029 18 6 13798 1.4 -23 6 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 24 7 13800 124.04 -20 -28 0.105 0.108 0.051 0.062 0.051 34 8 13801 285.6 -56 7 0.077 0.087 0.039 0.034 0.004 56! 9 10625-1 3.19 -41 13 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 43 Disk Forecast Rates 0.838 0.698 0.370 0.381 0.086 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.5x 1.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 43.00% 49.00% 69.00% 68.00% 91.00% Uncertainties 3.50% 3.30% 2.40% 10.60% 2.70%