2024/08/24 20:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13790 289.45 37 -15 0.199 0.171 0.089 0.090 0.011 40 2 13794 145.43 61 19 0.023 0.037 0.014 0.013 0.000 63! 3 13793 11.14 41 22 0.003 0.009 0.002 0.003 0.000 46! 4 13796 119.45 -5 -8 0.335 0.247 0.141 0.122 0.000 9 5 13798 1.92 -11 6 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 12 6 13800 149.18 -9 -28 0.117 0.117 0.056 0.055 0.025 29 7 13801 111.33 -44 7 0.028 0.043 0.016 0.016 0.000 44 8 10621-1 0.49 -24 12 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 27 9 10633-1 1.47 19 13 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 23 Disk Forecast Rates 0.705 0.624 0.318 0.301 0.036 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.0x 1.0x 1.0x 1.4x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 49.00% 53.00% 72.00% 74.00% 96.00% Uncertainties 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 7.50% 1.00%