2024/10/03 04:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13842 608.7 15 -15 0.990 0.536 0.366 0.450 0.046 21 2 13845 44.19 59 18 0.003 0.008 0.002 0.003 0.000 61! 3 13841 74.95 10 13 0.177 0.157 0.080 0.074 0.025 16 4 13847 34.13 -45 -28 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 51! 5 13848 383.74 -68 13 0.398 0.280 0.164 0.150 0.015 68! 6 10860-1 44.78 -47 -21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 50! Disk Forecast Rates 1.600 0.981 0.612 0.680 0.086 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.6x 1.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 20.00% 37.00% 54.00% 50.00% 91.00% Uncertainties 3.10% 3.50% 3.20% 15.80% 2.70%