2024/10/06 07:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13842 931.84 44 -16 0.935 0.514 0.348 0.446 0.141 46! 2 13841 141.47 52 14 0.019 0.032 0.011 0.016 0.002 53! 3 13847 37.35 -16 -24 0.001 0.005 0.001 0.010 0.000 28 4 13848 77.19 -28 13 0.145 0.136 0.067 0.063 0.000 31 5 13849 315.31 -53 -7 0.167 0.150 0.076 0.066 0.015 53! 6 10881-1 22.82 57 -27 0.001 0.005 0.001 0.001 0.000 61! Disk Forecast Rates 1.300 0.842 0.504 0.602 0.158 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.6x 1.5x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 27.00% 43.00% 60.00% 54.00% 85.00% Uncertainties 3.40% 3.50% 2.90% 15.20% 5.60%