2024/10/15 20:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13852 139.69 30 -9 0.192 0.166 0.086 0.075 0.007 31 2 13855 53.15 60 15 0.002 0.007 0.002 0.003 0.000 61! 3 10899-1 0.0 6 -15 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 16 4 13856 10.05 -12 13 0.003 0.009 0.002 0.004 0.000 18 5 13858 82.89 -52 -15 0.009 0.018 0.006 0.006 0.000 54! 6 13857 69.53 -60 -8 0.009 0.019 0.006 0.006 0.000 60! 7 10945-1 8.47 -28 -11 0.001 0.004 0.001 0.002 0.000 30 Disk Forecast Rates 0.216 0.223 0.103 0.096 0.007 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.0x 1.0x 1.0x 1.4x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 80.00% 80.00% 90.00% 90.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 3.00% 1.00%