2024/10/21 04:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13856 116.96 63 10 0.006 0.013 0.004 0.009 0.000 64! 2 13858 0.85 16 -16 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 22 3 13857 2.2 14 -7 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 16 4 10939-1 23.23 7 -32 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.005 0.000 33 5 13859 78.92 43 -11 0.038 0.053 0.021 0.025 0.016 44 6 10953-1 131.44 -43 -9 0.067 0.078 0.034 0.029 0.008 44 7 13862 36.22 -28 -18 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.004 0.000 33 8 13865 59.48 -60 -22 0.003 0.008 0.002 0.003 0.000 63! 9 10970-1 203.95 -66 -11 0.036 0.050 0.020 0.020 0.002 66! 10 10978-1 257.85 -84 -11 0.017 0.029 0.010 0.019 0.035 84! Disk Forecast Rates 0.167 0.232 0.091 0.118 0.061 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.0x 1.0x 1.0x 1.4x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 84.00% 79.00% 91.00% 88.00% 94.00% Uncertainties 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 3.60% 1.50%