2024/10/23 15:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13860 30.96 66 -6 0.002 0.007 0.002 0.002 0.000 66! 2 13859 322.18 79 -11 0.007 0.015 0.004 0.005 0.011 79! 3 13863 102.64 -26 -11 0.043 0.057 0.023 0.032 0.000 28 4 13865 30.65 -10 -21 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.008 0.000 23 5 13868 724.01 -66 -15 0.397 0.279 0.164 0.242 0.067 67! Disk Forecast Rates 0.449 0.359 0.193 0.289 0.078 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.5x 1.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 63.00% 69.00% 82.00% 74.00% 92.00% Uncertainties 2.70% 2.40% 1.50% 8.80% 2.50%