2024/10/23 18:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13860 16.95 68 -6 0.002 0.006 0.002 0.002 0.000 68! 2 13859 258.76 81 -11 0.007 0.016 0.005 0.006 0.013 81! 3 13863 82.97 -24 -11 0.039 0.054 0.021 0.029 0.000 27 4 13865 37.42 -9 -21 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.009 0.000 23 5 13868 604.95 -65 -15 0.342 0.251 0.144 0.167 0.048 66! Disk Forecast Rates 0.390 0.327 0.172 0.213 0.061 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.0x 1.0x 1.0x 1.5x 1.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 67.00% 72.00% 84.00% 80.00% 94.00% Uncertainties 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 7.10% 2.00%