2024/11/01 11:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13869 865.08 35 -16 0.392 0.277 0.162 0.171 0.008 38 2 13874 325.4 56 26 0.054 0.067 0.028 0.030 0.002 60! 3 13878 69.84 -15 17 0.372 0.267 0.155 0.189 0.062 23 4 13879 177.44 -39 14 0.039 0.053 0.021 0.029 0.000 41 5 13880 124.46 -51 -13 0.010 0.020 0.007 0.008 0.000 52! 6 11047-1 15.24 -33 -9 0.005 0.012 0.003 0.004 0.000 34 Disk Forecast Rates 0.872 0.696 0.376 0.431 0.072 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.5x 1.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 41.00% 49.00% 68.00% 64.00% 93.00% Uncertainties 3.50% 3.30% 2.50% 11.30% 2.30%