2024/11/01 13:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13869 878.74 36 -16 0.433 0.297 0.177 0.182 0.017 39 2 13874 323.41 57 26 0.053 0.066 0.028 0.032 0.002 60! 3 13878 67.36 -14 17 0.364 0.262 0.152 0.174 0.034 22 4 13879 168.6 -38 14 0.036 0.050 0.020 0.030 0.000 40 5 13880 114.61 -50 -13 0.008 0.017 0.005 0.007 0.000 51! 6 11044-1 21.03 -36 -21 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.001 0.000 41 7 11047-1 11.41 -32 -9 0.009 0.019 0.006 0.004 0.000 33 Disk Forecast Rates 0.903 0.713 0.388 0.430 0.053 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.5x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 40.00% 49.00% 67.00% 65.00% 94.00% Uncertainties 3.50% 3.30% 2.50% 11.30% 1.30%