2024/11/02 10:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13869 1159.96 48 -15 0.407 0.284 0.167 0.169 0.010 50! 2 13874 284.85 70 26 0.001 0.004 0.001 0.001 0.000 72! 3 11003-2 34.0 51 24 0.009 0.019 0.006 0.005 0.000 55! 4 13879 126.32 -16 15 0.322 0.241 0.136 0.163 0.041 22 5 13880 100.99 -41 -10 0.002 0.007 0.002 0.006 0.000 42 6 13881 44.87 -20 -9 0.032 0.046 0.018 0.017 0.000 22 7 11051-1 81.37 -72 -6 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.001 72! Disk Forecast Rates 0.774 0.604 0.331 0.361 0.052 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.5x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 46.00% 54.00% 71.00% 69.00% 94.00% Uncertainties 3.40% 3.10% 2.30% 10.20% 1.30%