2025/02/16 05:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13986 102.81 65 6 0.007 0.015 0.005 0.006 0.000 65! 2 13992 242.69 55 -6 0.037 0.051 0.020 0.019 0.000 56! 3 13989 6.18 2 19 0.002 0.006 0.002 0.011 0.000 20 4 13990 22.43 -5 -11 0.024 0.038 0.014 0.024 0.000 13 5 11598-1 0.31 7 6 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 9 6 13994 2.39 20 -19 0.001 0.004 0.001 0.002 0.000 28 7 13993 217.28 -38 14 0.032 0.046 0.018 0.029 0.000 40 8 13997 63.62 -41 3 0.025 0.039 0.015 0.012 0.000 41 9 13995 46.77 47 -22 0.002 0.007 0.002 0.002 0.000 51! 10 11623-1 265.39 -63 -17 0.061 0.073 0.031 0.027 0.002 65! 11 11629-1 201.37 -79 -14 0.004 0.010 0.003 0.003 0.007 79! 12 11630-1 32.72 -63 6 0.005 0.013 0.004 0.003 0.000 63! Disk Forecast Rates 0.200 0.302 0.115 0.138 0.009 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.0x 1.0x 1.0x 1.4x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 81.00% 73.00% 89.00% 87.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 4.10% 1.00%