2025/08/04 20:00 # AR# WLSG_10 Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (KG) (deg) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 14161 13.76 16 -16 0.002 0.006 0.002 0.013 0.000 23 2 14165 75.59 -8 9 0.225 0.186 0.099 0.089 0.009 13 3 12421-1 0.08 6 19 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 20 4 14167 344.53 62 11 0.106 0.109 0.051 0.045 0.008 63! 5 12439-1 145.7 -74 21 0.002 0.006 0.001 0.001 0.002 75! Disk Forecast Rates 0.335 0.307 0.153 0.148 0.019 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.0x 1.0x 1.0x 1.4x 1.3x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 71.00% 73.00% 85.00% 86.00% 98.00% Uncertainties 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 4.30% 1.00%