Vector VPLUS # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist HARP (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 4 12990 2 -4 16 0.001 0.006 0.000 0.000 0.000 16 6948-1 5 12991 2 -36 -24 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 43! 6949-1 1 12992 7 64 -31 0.008 0.006 0.004 0.000 0.000 71! 6931-1 7 12993+ 22 -72 22 0.031 0.024 0.023 0.004 0.001 75! 6953-1 Disk Forecast Rates 0.041 0.039 0.027 0.005 0.001 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.7x 1.3x 2.5x 2.7x 2.4x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 96.00% 96.00% 97.00% 99.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 2.20% 1.10% 2.50% 1.00% 1.00%