Vector VPLUS # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist HARP (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13001 1 72 -32 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 78! 6979-1 2 13004 23 61 -16 0.073 0.043 0.026 0.010 0.003 63! 6992-1 4 13006 12 -17 -29 0.054 0.031 0.009 0.006 0.002 33! 7003-1 Disk Forecast Rates 0.140 0.083 0.038 0.016 0.004 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.5x 1.3x 2.6x 2.2x 2.0x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 87.00% 92.00% 96.00% 98.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 11.00% 1.80% 3.50% 1.30% 1.00%