Vector VPLUS # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist HARP (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13559 32 47 25 0.061 0.065 0.043 0.020 0.005 53! 9521-1 Disk Forecast Rates 0.076 0.083 0.051 0.022 0.005 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.8x 1.2x 2.5x 1.9x 1.8x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 93.00% 92.00% 95.00% 98.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 4.10% 1.50% 4.50% 1.40% 1.00%