Vector VPLUS # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist HARP (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13824 31 42 -4 0.042 0.043 0.042 0.010 0.003 42! 10730-1 Disk Forecast Rates 0.046 0.050 0.043 0.010 0.003 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.6x 1.3x 2.5x 2.2x 2.0x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 96.00% 95.00% 96.00% 99.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 2.10% 1.10% 3.80% 1.00% 1.00%