Vector VPLUS # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist HARP (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13836+ 156 64 -11 0.760 0.570 0.590 0.800 0.160 64! 10785-1 Disk Forecast Rates 0.760 0.580 0.590 0.800 0.160 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.8x 1.2x 3.4x 2.0x 1.9x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 47.00% 56.00% 55.00% 45.00% 85.00% Uncertainties 20.00% 6.70% 40.00% 25.00% 8.70%