Vector VPLUS # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist HARP (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 1 13878+ 29 83 16 0.040 0.036 0.037 0.007 0.002 84! 11019-1 Disk Forecast Rates 0.040 0.036 0.037 0.007 0.002 Multiplicative Uncertainties 1.6x 1.3x 2.5x 2.3x 2.2x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 96.00% 96.00% 96.00% 99.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 1.90% 1.00% 3.30% 1.00% 1.00%